Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 27th, 2016 8:44AM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is high, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Storm Slabs, Persistent Slabs and Cornices.

Avalanche Canada jlammers, Avalanche Canada

A warm, wet and windy storm will bring the Avalanche Danger to High

Summary

Confidence

High

Weather Forecast

Up to 30mm of precipitation is forecast for Wednesday night with another 20cm of snow expected on Thursday. Ridgetop winds will remain extreme from the southwest while freezing levels will drop throughout the day from 2000m to about 1500m. On Friday and Saturday the region will see generally light flurries, significantly decreased winds and freezing levels around 1000m.

Avalanche Summary

In recent days, backcountry avalanche observations have been extremely limited, mostly due to stormy weather. Looking forward, continued warm, wet and windy weather is expected to spark ongoing storm slab activity in high elevation lee terrain, but warm temperatures and loading will also increase the likelihood of waking up any lingering persistent weaknesses that were not triggered by last week's storm.

Snowpack Summary

On Wednesday night and Thursday morning, moderate to heavy snow and strong winds will continue to form deep and dense storm slabs in high elevation terrain and cause substantial cornice growth. At treeline and below, rain is forecast to further saturate the snowpack. In many areas, the early and mid-January surface hoar layers have been wiped-out by last week's storm and subsequent avalanche cycle; however, "sudden" test results and isolated persistent slab avalanches prove these interfaces should remain on your radar. These layers would be down between 80 and 150 cm deep, and still have the capacity to surprise with nasty consequences. The mid and lower snowpack is generally strong, with the exception of shallower snowpack areas that may be more faceted.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
Heavy snowfall and extreme winds on Wednesday and Thursday morning will form deep and dense storm slabs at higher elevations. Watch for increased triggering in wind-exposed terrain.
Be alert to conditions that change with elevation.>Stay off recent wind loaded areas until the slope has had a chance to stabilize.>Avoid all avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 4

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
There are still areas where last week's storm and subsequent avalanche cycle did NOT destroy buried surface crystals. In these areas, loading from rain and snow will continue to stress these layers with the potential for large, destructive avalanches
Be aware of the potential for large, deep avalanches due to the presence of buried surface hoar.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

3 - 5

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices
Recent storms have formed very large and unsupported cornices, and at least one person has taken an unexpected ride. Use extra caution around ridge crests in the alpine.
Give cornices a wide berth when travelling on or below ridges.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Jan 28th, 2016 2:00PM

Login