Avalanche Forecast
Regions: South Rockies.
Confidence
Moderate - Due to the number of field observations
Weather Forecast
Dry with cool temperatures for the foreseeable future. SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Ridge wind light southwest. Temperature -14. Freezing level surface.MONDAY: Mix of sun and cloud. Ridge wind light southwest. Temperature -12. Freezing level surface.TUESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud. Ridge wind light west. Temperature -12. Freezing level surface.
Avalanche Summary
On Saturday several natural and human triggered storm slab avalanches to Size 2 were reported on a wide variety of aspects and elevations. Furthermore, several persistent slab avalanches to Size 1.5 were reported (with some remote-triggered by skiers). Earlier in the week, a larger persistent slab (Size 2) was triggered low on a slope that propagated up and across the slope on a 50 cm deep crust. This highlights the potential for persistent slab avalanches to have wide propagations.
Snowpack Summary
Up to 45 cm of snow has fallen over the past 2 days, with generally light winds. That said, some areas of the region (Crowsnest Pass) saw strong east winds while others (Elk valley) had lower snowfall amounts. In wind exposed areas this new snow overlies variable wind slabs up to 80 cm thick in some areas. In sheltered areas, 30-60 cm of unconsolidated old storm snow has been covered.The main question in the snowpack surrounds the mid-December layer sitting beneath the recent snow. This layer includes crusts on solar aspects and feathery surface hoar in sheltered terrain at and below treeline, and has produced whumpfing as well as moderate, sudden results in recent snowpack tests. The lower snowpack is composed of mostly soft sugary snow and a few early season crusts that have not produced significant test results recently.For an update on recent conditions check out the Mountain Information Network (MIN) report here. And please post your own reports!
Avalanche Problems
Storm Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2
Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 3