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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 18th, 2022–Feb 19th, 2022
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Rockies.

Avalanche danger will increase this weekend as new snow and wind will form unstable slabs at upper elevations. 

Confidence

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain.

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy skies, no precipitation, strong wind from the southwest, treeline temperatures around -6 C.

SATURDAY: Cloudy with flurries starting in the morning and 5-10 cm of snow by the late afternoon, strong wind from the southwest, treeline temperatures around -6 C.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries bringing another 5-15 cm of snow, wind easing off throughout the day with mostly light northeast gusts, treeline temperatures drop to -15 C throughout the day.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny, moderate wind from the northeast, treeline temperatures around -20 C.

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche activity over the past few days has been limited to small (size 1) slab and loose avalanches in steep alpine terrain. With the incoming storm we could expect to see larger wind slabs form at upper elevations.

Snowpack Summary

New snow will form some isolated wind slabs at upper elevations and bring 5 to 10 cm of low density snow in sheltered terrain. Roughly 10 to 20 cm of snow sits above hard wind-affect snow and melt-freeze crusts. The snowpack below is well consolidated, with a crust/facet layer found near the bottom of the snowpack. It is currently considered dormant, but could become active later this season as discussed in this forecaster blog.

Terrain and Travel

  • Fresh wind slabs will likely form throughout the day, diligently watch for changing conditions.
  • Use ridges or ribs to avoid areas of wind loaded snow.
  • Use caution above cliffs and terrain traps where even small avalanches may have severe consequences.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Fresh wind slabs will likely form along ridgetops by Saturday afternoon, with new snow and strong southwest wind in the forecast.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2