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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 11th, 2020–Dec 12th, 2020
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

The recent storm snow is slowly faceting out, which is prolonging the high ski quality.

Before slashing into a committing line, have a dig to test the bond between the new and old snow layers. Expect sluff to run fast and far.

Weather Forecast

A ridge of high pressure remains. Sunny skies, light winds and cool temps will continue over the weekend.

Snowpack Summary

20-40 cm of low density snow sits on the Dec 7th layer of sun crust, facets or surface hoar depending on your location. This snow came with minimal wind and is less reactive than we had thought it might be. The Nov. 5th crust / facet layer persists at the bottom of the snowpack. Snowpack depths are 90-160cm at tree line.

Avalanche Summary

Solar triggered loose dry, size 1-1.5 out of steep rocky terrain were observed today throughout the region. A size 2 slab from the past 24hrs was reported on the N aspect of Mt. Ball.

On Thursday Lake Louise ski area triggered a size 2.5 with explosives, 60-100cm deep and ran for 200m. No notable explosive controlled avalanches on Friday.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

The Nov 5 crust has facets above and below it, and exists up to 2500m on shady aspects and higher on solar aspects. We haven't seen any activity on this layer since the storm, but the new load may have made it more reactive in some areas.

  • Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.
  • Pay attention to overhead hazards like cornices which could trigger the deep persistent slab.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5