Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 20th, 2019 4:31PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada kdevine, Avalanche Canada

Though avalanche activity has slowed down, it is worth keeping in mind that the potential still exists for humans to trigger persistent slab avalanches. While these avalanches are becoming less likely, the consequences remain high.

Summary

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Cloudy with clear periods and isolated flurries / northeast winds 10-20 km/h / alpine low temperature near -12THURSDAY - A mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries / northwest winds 10-20 km/h / alpine high temperature near -10FRIDAY - Mainly cloudy with flurries, 5-10 cm / southwest winds 15-35 km/h / alpine high temperature near -10SATURDAY - A mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries / northwest winds, 10-15 km/h / alpine high temperature near -10

Avalanche Summary

On Tuesday, a notable avalanche report was of a size 3 persistent slab avalanche that occurred on an east aspect between 1800-2100 m. This avalanche was triggered by explosives and it reportedly failed on the persistent weak layer that was buried on February 7th. This layer is discussed further in the Snowpack Summary below.Human triggered avalanches have been reported everyday for over a week. Although most avalanches have been small (size 1-1.5), some have shown impressive propagation. Check some of the recent MIN reports for examples (here and here).

Snowpack Summary

Depending on location, the snow surface consists of a mix of 20-30 cm of low density snow or wind slabs, and sun crust on south facing slopes.  This snow sits on a weak layer of surface hoar (feathery crystals) and a crust that was buried on February 7th. This layer has been reactive, and has produced avalanches as large as size 3. Two other surface hoar layers are buried 50 to 80 cm deep the snowpack (referred to as the February 1st and mid-January layers). Although they have not been reactive recently, they are still being monitored by professionals. These layers are most prevalent below treeline on shady aspects. The lower snowpack is considered generally strong.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
It remains possible to trigger an avalanche on one of the surface hoar or crust layers buried 30 to 80 cm deep. These layers are most prominent at treeline and below.
Use caution on open slopes and convex rolls Surface hoar distribution is highly variable. Avoid generalizing your observations.Caution around sheltered open areas at treeline and below including cutblocks, gulleys, and glades.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Wind slabs can be found on a variety of aspects due to variable wind directions.
Wind from a variety of directions has formed wind slabs in unusual locations.Use caution in freshly wind-loaded features, especially near ridge crests.If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Feb 21st, 2019 2:00PM

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