Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Feb 20th, 2019 4:31PM
The alpine rating is Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
High -
Weather Forecast
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Cloudy with clear periods and isolated flurries / northeast winds 10-20 km/h / alpine low temperature near -12THURSDAY - A mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries / northwest winds 10-20 km/h / alpine high temperature near -10FRIDAY - Mainly cloudy with flurries, 5-10 cm / southwest winds 15-35 km/h / alpine high temperature near -10SATURDAY - A mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries / northwest winds, 10-15 km/h / alpine high temperature near -10
Avalanche Summary
On Tuesday, a notable avalanche report was of a size 3 persistent slab avalanche that occurred on an east aspect between 1800-2100 m. This avalanche was triggered by explosives and it reportedly failed on the persistent weak layer that was buried on February 7th. This layer is discussed further in the Snowpack Summary below.Human triggered avalanches have been reported everyday for over a week. Although most avalanches have been small (size 1-1.5), some have shown impressive propagation. Check some of the recent MIN reports for examples (here and here).
Snowpack Summary
Depending on location, the snow surface consists of a mix of 20-30 cm of low density snow or wind slabs, and sun crust on south facing slopes. This snow sits on a weak layer of surface hoar (feathery crystals) and a crust that was buried on February 7th. This layer has been reactive, and has produced avalanches as large as size 3. Two other surface hoar layers are buried 50 to 80 cm deep the snowpack (referred to as the February 1st and mid-January layers). Although they have not been reactive recently, they are still being monitored by professionals. These layers are most prevalent below treeline on shady aspects. The lower snowpack is considered generally strong.
Problems
Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Wind Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Feb 21st, 2019 2:00PM