Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Jan 13th, 2020 1:00AM
The alpine rating is Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Past Weather
A series of past warm pacific storm fronts in the region delivered fluctuating freezing levels and precipitation in the form of rain and snow.
Weather Forecast
An arctic front will bring some unsettled weather but frigid temperatures will persist, expect the treeline and alpine temperatures to cool to the negative mid teens. A mix of sun and cloud with a dry air mass will continue into Tuesday and Wednesday.Monday Nil precipitation , Winds Light from the North east , Freezing levels sea level.Tuesday 1 to 5 mm of precipitation , Winds light from the North east, Freezing level sea level.Wednesday 1 to 5 mm of precipitation , Winds light from the North east, Freezing level sea level.
Terrain Advice
Choose low-angled and sheltered terrain, continuing to remain vigilant of newly formed wind slab especially on southern aspects.Careful snow pack assessment and selective route finding is essential when entering any convex roll or steep features.
Snowpack Summary
Over the past 24 hours, cool temperatures and light snowfall has refreshed the upper snow pack. Previous warm and wet storm fronts have formed a number of melt freeze crusts that are dominating the upper snow pack. The strength and support of these melt freeze crusts is dependent on elevation and are currently strong enough to bridge the mid and lower snow pack . A surface hoar layer down 30 to 40 cm is reactive to hard testing but in specific Alpine terrain is likely to be increasingly sensitive and may be problematic. The lower snow pack is well settled but in isolated Alpine terrain, suspect a deep and dormant basal weakness to exist.
Snowpack Details
- Surface: New low density snow, scoured loaded and pressed, all dependent on the orientation to the wind,
- Upper: A breakable rain crust can be found down between 10 to 20 cm and on lee aspects upto 50cm.
- Mid: A variety of crusts from melt freeze to a settling surface hoar interface.
- Lower: Well settled and dense, with the exception of the alpine where a deep an nonreactive basal instability is possibly still lurking.
Confidence
Moderate - Limited Alpine Field Observations. Increased MIN reports providing a range of good recreational information, much appreciated, please keep them coming.
Problems
Persistent Slabs
Likelihood
Expected Size
Wind Slabs
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Jan 14th, 2020 1:00AM