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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 13th, 2020–Feb 14th, 2020
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Hazard is improving, but forecasters still have concern for larger  isolated avalanches. It is still a good idea to avoid  big features and unsupported terrain.

Weather Forecast

Mixed sun and cloud with isolated flurries along the divide for Friday. Winds forecast to be moderate from the SW and freezing levels will remain around 1400 m. Some weather models predicting 10-20 cm of new snow by end of weekend.

Snowpack Summary

5-10 cm of dry snow over the past 48-hours sits over top of a well settled mid-pack. The lower snowpack consists of weaker facets (particularly in shallower snowpack areas) that are producing moderate shears with snowpack tests. Isolated wind slabs exist near ridge tops and lee terrain in the alpine.

Avalanche Summary

No natural activity observed. The ski-hills reported small wind-slabs in the alpine that were reactive to ski-cutting. Lake Louise ski hill reported an-out-of-bounds skier triggering a size one wind slab in the Lipallian area.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Small wind-slabs can be expected near ridge-tops and lee terrain in the alpine.

  • Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

Several larger avalanches failing on this layer have been observed in the past week. Bigger features and convex slopes should still be avoided until this layer stabilizes.

  • Pay attention to overhead hazards like cornices which could easily trigger the deep persistent slab.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3.5