Register
Get forecast notifications
Create an account to receive email notifications when forecasts are published.
Login
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 17th, 2022–Jan 18th, 2022
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Jasper.

No recent natural avalanche activity and a cooling trend are a good sign of healing snowpack.The alpine is still a suspect due to the week long wind event.

Weather Forecast

Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. Precipitation: Nil. Alpine temperature: High -10 °C. Ridge wind light.

Wednesday: A mix of sun. Precipitation: Trace. Alpine temperature: Low -13 °C, High -11 °C. Ridge wind west: 10 km/h.

Thursday: Flurries. Accumulation: 12 cm. Alpine temperature: Low -11 °C, High -6 °C. Ridge wind west: 20 km/h gusting to 60 km/h.

Snowpack Summary

Variable amounts of new snow across the region with up to 15 cm further south. The upper snowpack has been heavily wind affected especially in wind prone areas. The mid snowpack is faceted with a persistent weak layer buried 40-70cm down. Basal facets and depth hoar can be found at the base of snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

Sunday Icefields patrol had fair visibility and no new naturals were noted. Our nearest neighbors reporting small wind slab and persistent slab results from their explosives control in the Alpine.

Confidence

The weather pattern is stable

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind slab development has been more pronounced in the icefields area. Investigate its bonding to the old snow surface before committing to your line.

  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

A persistent slab sits over 2 different layers depending on elevation and aspect. Below 1950m, the layer is the early Dec rain crust roughly 40-60cm down. Above 1950m, facets buried after the holidays cold spell are the primary layer of concern.

  • Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5