Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 29th, 2017 3:58PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada ghelgeson, Avalanche Canada

Natural avalanche activity is expected to tapper off early Saturday morning, but human triggered avalanches remain possible or even likely in wind loaded features, especially those that are steep and unsupported.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Weather Forecast

One last blast of Pacific moisture is set to clash with the Arctic air mass over the province as a low pressure system moves towards the Lower Mainland late Friday. As was the case with Thursday's storm, alpine precipitation will fall as snow with only the North Shore Mountains at risk of seeing some liquid precipitation creeping up the slopes as warm air associated with the low just clips the Lower Mainland.FRIDAY NIGHT: Freezing level at valley bottom, 5 to 20 cm of snow possible, strong southwest wind.SATURDAY: Skies clearing throughout the day, freezing level at valley bottom, light to moderate west/northwest wind, trace of snow possible.SUNDAY: A few clouds, clearing in the afternoon, freezing level at valley bottom, light variable wind, no snow expected.MONDAY: Scattered cloud cover, freezing level at valley bottom, light variable wind, no snow expected.

Avalanche Summary

On Thursday a natural avalanche cycle was reported on steep unsupported features which produced storm slabs up to size 1.5 with crowns 10 to 15 cm in depth. A skier triggered size 1.5 avalanche on an unsupported feature at treeline was also reported.

Snowpack Summary

Thursday's storm produced about 25 cm of storm snow in the north of the region and around 40 cm in the south. Winds have largely been out of the southwest throughout the storm. The new storm snow covers a medley of surfaces which include stubborn wind slabs and wind-scoured exposed crust in the alpine, and loose faceted snow as well as isolated surface hoar in sheltered areas at treeline and below. Variable amounts of snow (up to 100 cm around the Coquihalla and about 20 to 50 cm in the Duffey area) overlie a widespread melt-freeze crust that was buried on December 15th. As of late, this layer has not produced much in the way of avalanche activity, but it could come to life with the additional load of new snowfall, especially in areas where loose facets exist above the crust.Beneath the December 15th layer, the lower snowpack is generally strong and well settled.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
Any natural activity induced by Friday night's storm should quickly taper off Saturday morning, but you need to remain vigilant in your travel practices, especially when it comes to avoiding convexities, terrain traps and wind loaded slopes.
Avoid wind loaded pockets at and above treeline, especially those near ridge crest and roll-overs.Avoid large convexities and steep unsupported slopes.The new snow could use a day or two to settle before we start to tee up the bigger lines.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Dec 30th, 2017 2:00PM

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