Avalanche forecast

South Rockies

Nov 28, 2017Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 9 years ago

Avalanche danger

Wed
Thu
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

With winter's return keep an eye out for new wind slabs and be extra cautious in thin snowpack areas where it may be possible to trigger a deeper layer in the snowpack. And if you do have any observations be sure to share them on the MIN.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2
    Watch for wind-transported, pillowy snow on leeward and cross-loaded slopes.
  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–3
    There are several crusts now buried within the snowpack. Be extra caution in thin snowpack areas where it may be possible to trigger these layers and assume that a release near the surface may also have the potential to step-down to a deeper layer.

Confidence

Low - Due to the number and quality of field observations

Weather Forecast

Tuesday: Flurries, accumulation 5-10 cm. Moderate to strong southwest wind. Alpine temperature near -7. Freezing level 1100 m.Wednesday: Mix of sun and cloud. Moderate west wind. Alpine temperature near -7. Freezing level 1000 m.Thursday: Cloudy, isolated flurries. Moderate to strong west wind. Alpine temperature near -7. Freezing level 1000 m.

Avalanche Summary

There have been no reports of avalanche activity in the region since last week's natural, wet cycle during the big rain event. To the north however, Kananaskis Country reports persistent slab activity to Size 2.5 initiating on layers at or near the base of the snowpack in the alpine and running to treeline. While natural avalanche activity is likely to taper off with a return to cooler temperatures and lowering freezing levels, new snow and wind are creating wind slabs in alpine lee areas. Once initiated, the possibility of a slab release stepping down to a deeper layer within the snowpack still exists.

Snowpack Summary

Sunday brought more rain and light snowfall amounts to upper elevations across the region. The southern part of the region received about 5 cm overnight while northern areas saw as much as 10-15 cm at 2200 m and above. While there is little information regarding snowpack structure, snowpack depths vary from 40-60 cm at 1800 m elevation to 80-100 cm near 2300m. Several crusts are expected to exist within the snowpack including the most recent rain crust which is now buried by 10-30 cm of new snow. Below this crust lies the Halloween crust as well as the early October rain crust at the base of the snowpack.

Regions covered