Avalanche Forecast

Fair - Due to the number of field observations on Sunday

Scattered convective snowfall (up to 15cm) is expected on Monday as a cold front moves across the region. By late Tuesday a short-lived ridge will bring clearing. On Wednesday a more organized warm and wet frontal system will bring rain to most elevations. Ridgetop winds are expected to be moderate from the southwest with Monday's snowfall, otherwise remaining light. Freezing levels should hover around 1500m on Monday and Tuesday, and then climb to about 2500m with Wednesday's system.

Over the past week, isolated slab avalanches to size 2.5 have occurred on persistent weaknesses buried on March 11th. In a few cases, avalanches failed with light inputs such as remote triggers. Recent heavy snowfall and wind prior to the weekend resulted in widespread storm slab avalanche activity to size 2, but it has also added load to these deeper, more destructive layers.  On Sunday, numerous large slab avalanches were observed in the Spearhead Range and on Ipsoot Mtn. The March 11 interface was the suspected culprit in most of these events.

Deep and dense new storm slabs have formed in response to steady wind, snowfall and warm temperatures prior to the weekend. At lower elevations, rain has saturated the snowpack. Cornices may also be fragile. A variably reactive crust/facet persistent weak layer, buried up to 100 cm down, has been the culprit in a few recent destructive avalanches (see avalanche summary). Avalanche problems associated with this layer may linger for a while with the potential for surprisingly large and destructive avalanches in steeper, high elevation terrain. The mid and lower snowpack are generally well-settled and strong.