Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Sea To Sky.
Confidence
Fair - Freezing levels are uncertain
Weather Forecast
Tuesday: Scattered light precipitation. Freezing level around 2000 m. Light southerly winds.Wednesday/Thursday: Light precipitation. Freezing level around 1900 m on Wednesday and 1500 m on Thursday. Light southerly winds.
Avalanche Summary
Recent observations include several loose-wet avalanches up to size 2 from steep solar aspects and wet slabs triggered by skiers below 1400 m. There has been some cornice fall and ice fall. On Sunday, a few small wind slabs were observed at ridge top. Last week, large slabs were suspected to have failed on the late-March interface.
Snowpack Summary
A melt-freeze crust exists on solar aspects and at low elevations. In some areas, limited overnight cooling has kept surface snow from re-freezing, leaving it loose and cohesionless. Surface hoar exists on shady slopes up into the alpine. Pockets of wind slab formed with recent southerly or easterly winds. Dry settling or faceting snow can be found on high north aspects. A predominately crusty weak interface from late March, now down 50-150cm, has become less likely to trigger, but remains a potential failure layer for large slab avalanches.
Avalanche Problems
Wet Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 4
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 3
Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 2 - 7