Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 19th, 2025 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada Avalanche Canada, Avalanche Canada

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Weak layers remain sensitive to human triggering, producing large avalanches.

Avoid exposure to large, open slopes - including overhead hazard.

Summary

Confidence

Low

Avalanche Summary

On Saturday explosive, natural and remotely triggered avalanches continued, producing size 2 to 3 avalanches. Several triggered as wind slabs on steep slopes, before stepping down to the December crust/facets/surface hoar. Activity was concentrated on northwest through east face slopes at treeline and above.

Natural activity will likely continue to decrease, but the snowpack is expected to remain primed for human triggering.

Snowpack Summary

Light snowfall will bury a layer of surface hoar in sheltered areas. Previous storm accumulations of up to 80 cm were heavily wind affected by west/southwest winds in exposed areas.

A layer of surface hoar, facets, or a thin crust is buried 30 to 60 cm deep at upper elevations.

Buried 100 to 200 cm deep is the current layer of concern - surface hoar, facets, and a crust. This layer produced large natural avalanches during the recent storm and continues to be very reactive to triggers.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night

Increasing cloud. 20 to 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -13 °C.

Monday

Cloudy with up to 5 cm of snow. 40 to 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -9 °C.

Tuesday

Partly cloudy. 20 to 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10 °C.

Wednesday

Cloudy. 5 to 10 cm of snow. 30 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Keep in mind that human triggering may persist as natural avalanches taper off.
  • Remote triggering is a concern; avoid terrain where triggering overhead slopes is possible.
  • Choose low-angled, sheltered terrain where new snow hasn't been wind-affected.
  • Avoid freshly wind-loaded terrain features.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Large avalanches on this layer continue. It is most triggerable in areas where the snowpack thins (steep, rocky slopes).

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

2 - 3.5

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Wind slabs likely remain reactive. Be especially cautious if you observe active wind transport of snow. Wind slabs may step down to deeper persistent weak layers, producing very large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Jan 20th, 2025 4:00PM

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