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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 22nd, 2012–Dec 23rd, 2012
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: South Rockies.

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather is uncertain

Weather Forecast

A Southern flow with embedded troughs will continue to dominate the region through to Monday, bringing additional snowfall amounts. Arctic air has moved into the region creating weak alpine temperature inversions. Valley bottom temperatures steady at -20.Saturday night into Sunday: Snow amounts 10-15 cm overnight with an additional 5 cm tomorrow, ridgetop winds light from the South, alpine temperatures near -15 with a weak inversion during the day. Monday: Light snowfall amounts in the morning, ridgetop winds light from the SE, and alpine temperatures near -15.Christmas Day: Mainly dry with sunny periods, ridgetop winds light from the South, and alpine temperatures -12.

Avalanche Summary

On Friday, a size 2 avalanche was triggered by a skier on a northeast aspect at 1900 m. The fracture depth was 30 cm and the slide ran for 150 m.

Snowpack Summary

Variable amounts of new snow have given storm slab depths ranging from approximately 20 to 50 cm. Extensive wind transport has built stiff wind slabs overlying lower density storm snow and may be touchy to rider triggers. Large wind drifts can be found in many areas behind exposed terrain features. Two crusts have been identified in the snowpack: one close to the ground that formed in early November and one around 90 cm below the surface, which formed in early December. Snowpack tests indicate these crusts are well bonded to the snow above and below.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

The new storm has set up a storm slab on all aspects. Strong SW winds have transported storm snow into thick and touchy slabs on mainly north through east aspects.
Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind and note recent avalanches.>Whumpfing, shooting cracks and recent avalanches are all strong indicators of an unstable snowpack.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 5