Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Nov 17th, 2011 9:54AM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs and Storm Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Poor - Due to limited field observationsfor the entire period
Weather Forecast
Friday and Saturday: Mostly clear with freezing levels around 200m and light northwesterly winds. Light flurries possible for coastal areas on Friday.Sunday: Increasing clouds with light flurries and light southwesterly winds.
Avalanche Summary
Recent reports include wind slab avalanches up to Size 2.5 failing on a surface hoar layer that was buried earlier this week. Some slabs were up to a metre deep and pulled back into low angled terrain on ridges showing incredible propensity for propagation. Wind and storm slabs will likely remain susceptible to human triggering throughout the weekend, and probably much longer in areas where they're failing on surface hoar a facet/crust combination.
Snowpack Summary
Another 20-30cm of upside-down storm snow brings total snowpack depths up to a metre or so in sheltered treeline areas, but expect to find much deeper pockets of wind-blown snow immediately down-wind of terrain features and ridge crests. A thick rain crust from last week is 70 or 80 cm off the ground at treeline and lower alpine elevations, with facets above and below in some locations. Above that is a buried layer of surface hoar that formed during the clear weather over the weekend. These weaknesses now have a sufficiently thick and cohesive slab to produce avalanches in most areas and they have all the characteristics of an avalanche problem that could persist for extended periods.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Storm Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Nov 18th, 2011 9:00AM