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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 2nd, 2020–Mar 3rd, 2020
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Strong to Extreme alpine winds will continue to develop the wind slab problem at upper elevations. Limit your exposure to overhead hazards like cornices.

Weather Forecast

Light snow overnight Monday with accumulation amounts of 2-5cm. Alpine winds will continue to be in the strong to extreme range over the next few days. Another more significant pulse of snow is forecasted for Tuesday night with forecasted accumulation amount of 10-20cm. Freezing levels will remain near valley bottom.

Snowpack Summary

Strong to Extreme SW winds forming new wind slab in the alpine down to tree line. Watch for buried sun crust on steep solar aspects. The Feb 1 rain crust is down 30-60 cm and present below 1900 m. In thin snow pack areas a dense mid-pack sits over a weak, faceted base. Thick snowpack areas have a denser base with few weaknesses.

Avalanche Summary

Direct observations of a few small natural avalanches initiated from strong SW winds were noted Monday afternoon.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

New wind slab development in the alpine and exposed areas at tree line. Expect this problem to be reactive to human triggering where new loading exist.

  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.
  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets while approaching and climbing ice routes.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

Avalanche activity on the basal facets has slowed down but the weakness in the snowpack remains a concern. These are hard to predict, but are most likely in areas with a thin snowpack (<130cm) where the basal facets and depth hoar are prominent.

  • Use caution in thin snowpack areas.
  • Pay attention to overhead hazards like cornices which could easily trigger the deep persistent slab.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3.5