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Avalanche Forecast

Nov 15th, 2019–Nov 16th, 2019
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

Regions: Jasper.

Some new snow is on the way at higher elevations

Weather Forecast

The atmospheric river arrives

Sat: Flurries with up to 6cm with gusting moderate SW winds

Sun: Flurries with up to 10cm with moderate SW winds gusting to strong. Freeze level: 1900m

Mon: Storm tapers with isolated flurries and back to a westerly and cooler temps.

A detailed forecast can be found from Avalanche Canada's, Mountain Weather Forecast.

Snowpack Summary

5-10 cm of snow sits above the recent November rain crust which goes as high as 2200m in the terrain. Total snow pack height in alpine is around 45-85 cm and sits on top of a variable weak basal crust from early October. A variety of surfaces can be found in the alpine from wind pressed/scoured features to wind slabs in the lee in the high alpine.

Avalanche Summary

A field team yesterday reported no new avalanches but signs of wind transport in the high alpine peaks and ridge tops.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Saturday

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

New wind slabs building with the storm.  Suspect the problem will mostly be in the alpine at ridgetops.

  • Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.
  • 885

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2