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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 13th, 2013–Mar 14th, 2013
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be high
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Natural avalanches are likely. We are in a natural avalanche cycle, and will be for the next 24 hours.

Weather Forecast

A second pulse from the pineapple express will hit the Rockies tonight and tomorrow, bringing up to 30cm of snow at higher elevations and rain below 1900m. Winds will be moderate to strong from the west. Temperatures will continue to be mild for this time of year (freezing level rising to 1900m), with no cooling overnight.

Snowpack Summary

A warm, windy night brought 15-20cm of dense snow. This has created very touchy storm slabs in the alpine and at tree-line. Below tree-line, there was rain to 1900m, creating unstable surface conditions.

Avalanche Summary

We are currently in a natural avalanche cycle, and will be for the next 24 hours at least. A field team in Yoho remotely triggered a size 2 slab avalanche while moving through moraines above Takakkaw Falls. They noted that conditions were very touchy and retreated. Below tree-line, numerous loose slides to size 1.5 were observed in Yoho.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Dense, very touchy storm slabs developed overnight with the new snow and warm temperatures. More snow is forecasted for the next 24 hours.
Avoid all avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.The new snow will require several days to settle and stabilize.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Wind Slabs

Strong W winds will be developing wind slabs on lee aspects and will be sensitive to human triggering.
Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Loose Wet

Rain to 1900m has created unstable conditions below tree-line. Travel is not recommended.
Good day to make conservative terrain choices.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2