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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Nov 30th, 2012–Dec 1st, 2012
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Decent ski quality reported in sheltered locations at treeline.  SH

Weather Forecast

5-10cm at TL by Sat. night and light amounts through to Monday.  We may see increased alpine SW flow Sat. with freezing levels up to 1600-1700 during the day.  Possibly rain in lower elevation areas W of divide such as Field.

Snowpack Summary

Sunshine study plot CTH24RP on Nov. 6 CR approx. 20 cm above ground.  Crust is breaking down.  Small SH noted (3mm) 10cm below surface.  90-100cm at TL in most areas, and average 5cm HN24 with little wind effect

Avalanche Summary

Lake Louise ski hill had no results from explosives control in alpine terrain.  No other avalanches observed.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Saturday

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Watch locally for thin wind slabs developing in the lees of ridges if we receive increased winds Sat as there is a lot of snow available for transport.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

The Nov 6 raincrust is down 50-90 cm. Although we have not seen any recent activity on this crust, this is still a significant layer in the snowpack. Evaluate this layer carefully prior to entering steeper/bigger terrain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3