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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 27th, 2015–Mar 28th, 2015
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Jasper.

A general cooling trend is expected through the weekend. The avalanche danger will rise rapidly if temperatures warm to above freezing and there is any significant solar radiation. Spring like conditions below treeline.

Weather Forecast

Temperatures and freezing levels will fall from the heat on Friday through the weekend.  Expect some light precipitation overnight on Friday then skies clear Saturday afternoon.  Clouds return on Sunday with up to 15 cm possible Sunday afternoon into Monday.  Moderate to strong winds expected to continue.

Snowpack Summary

Warm temps on Friday and cooling through the weekend will create a temperature crust on all aspects up to 2500m. Below this crust, a variety of layers and crusts exist with local variations thoughout the forecast area. A weak basal facet layer is present in most areas at treeline and above.

Avalanche Summary

A loose wet avalanche cycle occurred Friday afternoon primarily at treeline on easterly aspects up to size 2. Of note was a large size 3 slab on Mt. Saskatchewan on a steep NE facing alpine slope likely on the basal facet layer.

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Sunday

Avalanche Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Large cornices or surface avalanches are the likely trigger.
Give cornices a wide berth when travelling on or below ridges.Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 4

Wind Slabs

Fresh wind slabs are likely on lee aspects in the alpine.  Older slabs are likely on northerly aspects at treeline.
Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading have created wind slabs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2