Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Apr 5th, 2013 9:20AM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Cornices.

Avalanche Canada Peter, Avalanche Canada

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Track of incoming weather is uncertain on Sunday

Weather Forecast

Synopsis: A frontal system is forecast to move through on Friday night, followed closely by another system on Saturday night. Conditions should begin to dry out later on Sunday and Monday as a brief ridge of high pressure forms. Tonight and Saturday: 15-20 mm of precipitation, easing off in the afternoon. The freezing level is around 1500 m, lowering in the wake of the system. Winds are moderate from the south-southwest. Sunday: Moderate precipitation is possible but confidence on Sunday is low. Some models show the bulk of the precipitation heading south of the border. Temperatures continue to cool slightly. Monday: Drier conditions are likely. The daytime freezing level could rise to 1800 m, especially if the sun makes and appearance.

Avalanche Summary

There were no reports of new avalanches on Thursday. One recent size 3 wet slab was observed in the backcountry near Whistler on Wednesday. This slide occurred on a south facing slope.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 50 cm of moist or wet new snow sits on the previous snow surface, which included a melt-freeze crust, moist or wet snow, or pockets of surface hoar. Recent snowfall amounts vary considerably with elevation due to fluctuating freezing levels. Dense new wind slabs are likely in exposed lee terrain at and above treeline. The upper snowpack at lower elevations has become isothermal from recent warm temperatures and rain. Cornices are very large and could pop off with continued mild temperatures or during periods of sun.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
Moist or wet new snow has formed storm slabs at higher elevations. Triggering is most likely in steep exposed lee slopes (north to east aspects).
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>Avoid lee and cross-loaded terrain near ridge crests.>Choose conservative lines and watch for clues of instability.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 4

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices
Cornices are large and weak. Thick cloud could make it difficult to determine overhangs so give cornices a little extra space.
Give cornices a wide berth when travelling on or below ridges.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

2 - 6

Valid until: Apr 6th, 2013 2:00PM