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Avalanche Forecast

Dec 28th, 2018–Dec 30th, 2018
Alpine
3: Considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
Alpine
4: High
Treeline
4: High
Below Treeline
4: High
Alpine
3: Considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable

Regions: Vancouver Island.

Main concerns: Loose Wet, Cornice Fall.

Travel & Terrain Advice

Avoid steep unsupported terrain and all steep terrain when you find the snow is saturated with moisture during the coming weather event. Give cornices a wide berth, when travelling above and below them.

Avalanche Summary

A well settled snow-pack has produced with ski testing some small surface instabilities in isolated steep terrain.

Snowpack Summary

Upper snow-pack remains low density with the mid and lower snow pack well settled and bonded. Previous wind slab instabilities have begun to settle and are bonding well.

Snowpack Details

Surface: new low density snow. Upper: well settled. Mid: well settled with a noted nonreactive crust. Lower: well settled.

Past Weather

Light snowfall, light wind and temperatures continuing to trend to cool have promoted settlement and stability over the past forecast period.

Weather Forecast

A strong westerly flow will bring to the forecast area rapidly rising freezing levels. Expect temperatures in the alpine to be warm with the freezing level reaching above 2200 meters. Precipitation will initially begin on Friday as snow becoming heavy rain by mid day and continuing as rain for the evening and well into Saturday. Following this storm relief will come in the form of an arctic high pressure bringing cooling temperatures and clearing sky on Sunday.

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

Loose wet avalanches will be found at all elevations and aspects. Expect the chances of loose wet avalanches to be very likely, especially below tree line. These avalanches will be widespread, up-to size two and touchy to human triggers.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Cornices

Well developed and established cornices will become unconsolidated and weakening over the forecast period. Expect the chances cornice avalanches to be very likely. These avalanches will be specific to North aspects and found in both the Alpine and treeline. Cornice avalanches may reach up-to size two and will be touchy to human triggers.

Aspects: North, North East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2