The new year will bring a more stable weather pattern along with gradually warming temperatures. Consider the potential to trigger persistent slabs as the recent storm snow starts to finally settle and consolidate more rapidly.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate - Freezing levels are uncertain on Monday
Weather Forecast
SUNDAY: Mix of sun and cloud / Light west wind / Alpine temperature -13 MONDAY: Mix of sun and cloud / Light to moderate west wind / Alpine temperature -5 TUESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud / Moderate northwest wind / Alpine temperature -2, possible temperature inversion
Avalanche Summary
Snowpack Summary
10-25cm of low density new snow has buried a recently formed layer of weak feathery surface hoar and/or sugary facets. A layer buried mid-December that consists of surface hoar, sun crust and/or sugary facets is now down approximately 30-50cm. The bond at this old snow interface is of critical importance in areas where the overlying snow has consolidated into a slab. The most concerning areas are those that saw pronounced surface hoar development before the storm, such as sheltered areas at and below treeline, sheltered northerly aspects in the alpine, or anywhere the surface hoar formed on top of a sun crust. Recent snowpack tests show wide ranging reactivity on this weak layer. A crust which was formed by rain in late November is another major feature in the snowpack and is down approximately 70-100cm at tree line elevations. This interface has shown some signs of reactivity limited to steep, variably loaded alpine features in the adjacent North Columbia region.