Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Apr 22nd, 2021 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Loose Wet and Cornices.

Avalanche Canada swerner, Avalanche Canada

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Change is in the air, but remember that even short periods of sunshine combined with high freezing levels can pack a punch. Loose wet avalanches are possible on sun-exposed slopes in the afternoon. 

Steer clear of cornices from above and below.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - The snowpack structure is mostly striaghtforward and not unusually variable. Uncertainty is due to the timing or intensity of solar radiation and its effect on the snowpack.

Weather Forecast

Overnight Thursday: Clear with a light wind. Alpine temperatures near -2 and freezing levels valley bottom. 

Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. Ridgetop wind light to moderate from the southwest. Alpine temperatures near -1 and freezing levels 1700 m.

Saturday: Precipitation 10-20 mm falling as snow in the alpine and rain below. Ridgetop wind moderate from the northeast. Alpine temperatures near -2 and freezing levels 1600 m.

Sunday: Snow 5-10 cm. Ridgetop wind strong from the northeast. Alpine temperatures near -2 and freezing levels 1600 m. 

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche reports in this region since last weekend. In the neighboring South Coast Inland, a large wet slab was reported up to size 3 and ongoing wet loose avalanches have occurred up to size 2. 

Last weekend, multiple large to very large wet slab avalanches were observed near Whistler, size 2-4. Many of these involved the full depth of the snowpack, running to the valley bottom.

 

As the weather pattern changes and the temperatures drop a decline in natural avalanche activity is likely. However, solar slopes and weak cornices remain suspect when the sun is shining. It can really pack a punch this time of year, even for short periods of time. 

Snowpack Summary

A solid melt-freeze crust exists to the mountain top on solar slopes and up to 2000 m on polar slopes. Above 2000 m on North facing terrain, you may find dry snow and a generally well-settled snowpack. Below treeline elevations, the snowpack has been isothermal but will likely form a crust as freezing levels drop. 

Cornices are large and looming along ridgelines. They are weak and very unpredictable. 

Terrain and Travel

  • Avoid slopes when the solar radiation is strong, especially if they have large cornices overhead.
  • Back off slopes as the surface becomes moist or wet with rising temperatures.
  • When a thick, melt-freeze surface crust is present, avalanche activity is unlikely.
  • Keep in mind that wet avalanches can be destructive due to their high density.

Problems

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Wet loose avalanche activity is possible on sun-exposed slopes in the afternoon if the surface crust softens and weakens. These avalanches are generally smaller than wet slabs but they can gather mass as they travel and reach low elevations.  

Aspects: East, South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices

Cornices are at their largest at this time of year, and become weaker with warm temperatures and solar radiation.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3

Valid until: Apr 23rd, 2021 4:00PM

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