Avalanche Forecast

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Unsettled conditions continue overnight into Monday as an upper trough moves from the north bringing flurries tonight. A cool arctic air mass will dominate the region by Tuesday bringing colder, dryer conditions. Monday: Mostly cloudy with flurries. Alpine temperatures near -17 with light winds from the northeast. Tuesday/ Wednesday: Mix of sun and cloud. Alpine temperatures dropping to -22 with light winds from the north.

No recent avalanche observations have been reported, however; I suspect new wind slabs formed with an additional 5-25 cm of new snow and strong southwest winds. Cracking and whumphing felt below your feet/ skis is a good indicator of unstable snow. Loose dry sluffs from stepper slopes may have the potential to knock you off your feet so watch for terrain traps below.

Early season snowpack observations are still very limited in the region but the threshold for avalanches is expected to have been exceeded at treeline and in the alpine. Some parts of the region to the east may have received up to 20 cm of new snow in the past 24hrs. This new snow may be sifted into new wind slabs on leeward slopes or burying old snow surfaces and hard wind slab. This suggests wind slabs should be on your radar at treeline elevations and in the alpine. Kananaskis Country to the north and Waterton to the south of the region is currently reporting 30-50 cm of snow overlying the mid-November crust layer. Conditions are likely similar in the South Rockies.