Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 27th, 2025 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Persistent Slabs, Wind Slabs and Loose Wet.

Avalanche Canada Avalanche Canada, Avalanche Canada

Email

Recent widespread & large avalanche activity indicates an unstable snowpack.

Continue to make conservative terrain choices as remote-triggering remains a serious concern.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Over the last few days numerous natural, explosive and human-triggered avalanches (up to size 4) were reported across various elevations and aspects. Some involved only storm snow, while others failed up to 100 cm deep on the late January persistent weak layer. At treeline and below, some avalanches became wet, entraining significant debris.

Strong evidence indicates storm slabs and persistent weak layers remain primed for human triggering.

Snowpack Summary

A recent storm deposited 30 to 50 cm of snow across the region and southwesterly winds formed reactive slabs on leeward slopes. At lower elevations and on sun-exposed slopes, warm temperatures and solar radiation resulted in a crust or moist snow. In wind-sheltered areas, the storm snow generally rests on a weak layer of facets or surface hoar, while elsewhere it overlies a widespread crust. Another persisent weak layer, buried in late January, lies 50 to 100 cm deep across the region. This layer also consists of surface hoar/facets or a crust, depending on aspect. The remaining snowpack is well-settled and strong.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night

Mostly cloudy with 0 to 3 cm of snow. 15 to 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C.

Friday

A mix of sun and cloud. 10 to 15 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +2 °C. Freezing level around 2100 m.

Saturday

Sunny. 25 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +3 °C. Treeline temperature 3 °C. Freezing level falling to valley bottom overnight, then rising to 2600 m.

Sunday

Mostly sunny. 10 to 20 km/h variable ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +1 °C. Freezing level falling to valley bottom overnight, then rising to 2000 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Start with conservative terrain and watch for signs of instability.
  • Remote triggering is a big concern, be aware of the potential for wide propagations and large, destructive avalanches at all elevations.
  • Stay away from steep slopes, open slopes, and convex rolls at and below treeline where weak layers may be preserved.
  • Be alert to conditions that change with elevation, aspect, and exposure to wind.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Weak layers from January and February persist within the upper 100 cm of snow. These layers are expected to remain reactive, especially with the added stress of warming temperatures.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

2 - 3.5

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Southwesterly winds built wind slabs on leeward northerly and easterly slopes. If triggered, wind slab avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Wet loose avalanches will become more likely as daytime warming and sun melt the upper snowpack. There is also concern that they may step down to persistent weak layers.

Aspects: South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Feb 28th, 2025 4:00PM

Login