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Avalanche Forecast

Jan 20th, 2017–Jan 21st, 2017
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Coast Inland.

Conditions are primed for people triggering avalanches. Don't let the lure of deep powder draw you into terrain that's inappropriate for the conditions.

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

Unsettled weather and seasonal temperatures for the weekend; a mix of sun and cloud for early next week. SATURDAY: Mainly cloudy with the possibility of isolated flurries, light south wind and freezing level remaining around 1200m, but cooler overnight temperatures. SUNDAY: Mainly cloudy with flurries bringing 3-8 cm, freezing levels around 1200m with moderate to strong southeasterly winds. MONDAY: A mix of sun and cloud. Freezing levels around 1200m with light northerly winds.

Avalanche Summary

We've had a widespread natural avalanche cycle this week, including a spooky Size 3 early Thursday morning that buried the Duffey Lake road 5 metres + deep. Reports from Wednesday and Thursday included widespread natural slab avalanches up to Size 3 with crowns up to 80 cm thick. A remotely triggered 70-185 cm thick Size 2 wind slab was also reported. It was triggered by a skier 5 m away on the ridge. Lastly, below treeline areas up the Lillooet / Meager drainages have been very touchy and danger is likely to remain higher in this zone.

Snowpack Summary

SOUTHERN AREAS (e.g. Coquihalla): 10-20cm of fresh snow is likely bonding well to the previous rain-soaked snow surface up to treeline elevations. At alpine elevations, touchy fresh wind slabs are likely forming.NORTHERN AREAS (e.g. Duffey Lake): Up to 45 cm of fresh snow by Friday morning brings the storm snow totals to over a metre, which was all redistributed by moderate to strong southerly winds. This has resulted in touchy storm and wind slabs bonding poorly to the previous snow surface that includes facets and large surface hoar on sheltered slopes and/or a sun crust on steep sun-exposed aspects, as well as wind-affected surfaces (e.g. hard wind slab, sastrugi, scoured crust, etc.) in exposed areas. Weaknesses within the recent storm snow are likely also highly sensitive to triggering.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Weaknesses within and under the new snow. Expect avalanche likelihood and size to increase with increased snow and wind-loading. Slabs will be particulary deep and touchy on wind-loaded northerly aspects near ridge crests.
Minimize overhead exposure during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind.Avoid all avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3