Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 11th, 2016 8:50AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada swerner, Avalanche Canada

The weather pattern is finally changing for the better and new snow is on the way. Watch for changing avalanche conditions in your local riding area.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Weather Forecast

The weather pattern is finally changing. A weak frontal system will break down the persistent valley cloud and temperature inversions bringing upper elevation clouds, snow accumulations 3-7 cm, and light SW winds. By Wednesday the Cariboo region will see an additional 8-15 cm of new snow with strong SW winds and alpine temperatures near -10. Unsettled conditions continue through Thursday.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported. With new snow accompanied by strong winds, loose dry and isolated wind slab problems may persist through the forecast period.

Snowpack Summary

New surface hoar growth and continued faceting persists up to ridgetop. Isolated wind slabs may be lurking behind ridges and ribs. Wind slabs or loose dry snow overlie old surfaces including surface hoar, facets, and possible sun crusts on steep southerly aspects. Cold and dry weather is drying out the upper snowpack (through faceting). In general, the mid and lower snowpack are strong, with any weak layers considered dormant for now. Snowpack depths are variable. Shallow snowpack areas may have weak facetted crystals near the ground.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Wind slabs may be lurking behind ridges and ribs. Loose dry sluffing is also possible from any steep terrain.
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain. >Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow. >On steep slopes, pull over periodically or cut into a new line to manage sluffing.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Jan 12th, 2016 2:00PM