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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 16th, 2012–Dec 17th, 2012
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Cariboos.

Confidence

Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather is uncertain on Monday

Weather Forecast

Synopsis: The storm track is along the USA border so Monday's storm will bring mostly wind to the region with little new snow. Tuesday looks quiet before the next system on Wednesday or Thursday.Monday:  Mod to Strong South or SW winds; 5 to 15 cm of snow; continued cool with alpine temperatures near -10CTuesday: Light NW wind; dry; colder with alpine temperatures around -14CWednesday: Light S wind; little if any snow; continued cool.

Avalanche Summary

Mostly small loose snow avalanches from steep terrain were reported for this region but visibility was limited and some of our regular reporters weren't able to get out yesterday. Due to our limited observations for this region at this time, your avalanche observations are welcome at [email protected]

Snowpack Summary

Windslabs were developing Saturday afternoon and this process should continue Sunday & Monday in the alpine and treeline elevations with forecast S or SW winds. These slabs are most likely immediately behind ridge crests and downslope ribs. There's ample recent snow available to fuel slab development as winds pick up. Overall, the top and mid-snowpack is reported to be settling well. Deep persistent instabilities (surface hoar and early November crust) located in the middle and near the bottom of the snowpack may still be a concern but there's little recent evidence of them. It is important to know that we have very limited observations for this region. Digging down and making your own observations, especially in thinner snowpack areas, remains a good idea to assist safe slope selection. You're looking for weak layers that pop or drop in stability tests. Any observations from the field are welcome at [email protected].

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Expect growing windslabs in exposed lee slopes and cross-loaded gullies below ridge crests.
Assess start zones carefully and use safe travel techniques.>Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow.>Whumpfing, shooting cracks and recent avalanches are all strong indicators of an unstable snowpack.>Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 4