Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Feb 7th, 2019 4:41PM
The alpine rating is Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
High -
Weather Forecast
THURSDAY NIGHT: 2-5 cm of new snow. Alpine temperatures near -14 and ridgetop winds light from the northeast.FRIDAY: Cloudy with snow amounts 5-10 cm. Alpine temperatures near -11 and ridgetop winds moderate from the northeast.SATURDAY: Cloudy with isolated flurries. Alpine temperatures near -16 and ridgetop winds moderate from the northeast. SUNDAY: Mix of sun and cloud with alpine temperatures near -14. Ridgetop winds mostly light from the northeast.
Avalanche Summary
On Wednesday, a skier remotely triggered a size 1.5 slab avalanche approximately 200 m away from them off the same ridgeline that they were traveling on. The suspect failure plain being the February 1st surface hoar interface that was buried last weekend. Additionally, these slabs were also easily triggered up to size 1 from northerly aspects at 2000 m. With the cold temperatures and a bit of new snow, loose dry sluffing from steeper terrain features can be expected.
Snowpack Summary
10-30 cm of snow that fell late last week now sits on variety of snow surfaces, including buried wind crust on westerly aspects, sun crust on southerly aspects to mountain top and weak feathery surface hoar crystals in sheltered areas at treeline and below. The snowpack now hosts two buried surface hoar layers. The one that was buried on February 1st seems to be more predominant and reactive to human triggers than the one buried deeper down (40-80 cm). This deeper layer of surface hoar may be most reactive below treeline on shady aspects but doesn't seem to be a widespread problem in the region. The mid-pack is generally well-settled and strong.
Problems
Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Wind Slabs
Aspects: South East, South, South West, West.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Feb 8th, 2019 2:00PM