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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 13th, 2022–Jan 14th, 2022
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Jasper.

Slow cooling over the weekend will temper the natural reactivity of the snowpack but, it will remain a serious hazard to riders looking for fresh turns.

Icefields Parkway and Maligne Lake road remain closed for maintenance.

AB511 for up to date info.

Weather Forecast

Friday: Mainly cloudy. Temp High -6 °C. Wind SW:15 km/h. FZL to valley bottom

Saturday: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries. Temps: Low -9 °C, High -6 °C. Wind W: 20 km/h gusting to 50 km/h. FZL to valley bottom

Sunday: Mainly cloudy with scattered flurries. 5 cm. Temp: Low -10 °C, High -7 °C. Wind SW: 15-30 km/h. Freezing level at valley bottom.

Snowpack Summary

New snow with strong SW are creating wind effect and building windslabs on leeward slopes. These windslabs are expected to become more reactive as temperature rises. The mid snowpack remains faceted with the December persistent weak layers buried 40-70cm. Basal facets and depth hoar can be found at the base of snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

Several large windslabs, and loose dry avalanches initiated with explosive control on the Icefields Parkway and Maligne Lake road. Road maintenance ongoing and will take time for both roads to be passable. Downed avalanche patrol though the whole region with varied natural activity noted.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind slab development will continue with light snow and moderate to strong SW wind. Expect wind slabs to be reactive to a riders weight. 

  • If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Loose Dry

Watch for overhead pillows or full ledges where loose snow will accumulate.

  • Loose dry avalanches could easily trigger Wind Slab or Persistent Slab avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5

Persistent Slabs

A persistent slabs sit over 2 different layers depending on elevation. Below 1950m, the persistent weak layer is the Dec 1 rain crust. Above 1950m, facets buried on Dec 26 are the primary concern.

  • Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3