Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 5th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada trettie, Avalanche Canada

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Avoid Avalanche Terrain.

Solar input will further weaken the snowpack. Be aware of overhead hazard, avalanches have run full path.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Sunday a fatal avalanche incident occurred north of Revelstoke. The avalanche was a size 2 that caught and buried a snow biker on a northeast slope at 2000 m. The avalanche released on the early February crust. View the report.

Human triggered avalanches continue throughout the region. Some avalanches have  run full path to valley bottom. Many human triggered avalanches have been remotely triggered.

Snowpack Summary

A crust could be found on steep south and west facing terrain and will likely become moist with solar input. Wind slab may be found on north and east facing slopes.

50 to 120 cm overlies a layer of surface hoar in wind-sheltered terrain, weak facets, or a hard melt-freeze crust on south and west-facing slopes.

A thick and hard widespread crust that formed in early February is buried about 80 to 160 cm deep and extends up to 2400 m. This crust may have a layer of facets above it. The snowpack below this crust is generally not concerning except in shallow alpine terrain.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night

Mostly clear. 15 to 25 km/h northwest alpine wind. Treeline temperature -15°C.

Wednesday

Sunny. 5 to 20 km/h west alpine wind. Treeline temperature -11°C.

Thursday

Sunny. 15 to 35 km/h west alpine wind. Treeline temperature -8°C.

Friday

A mix of sun and cloud with up to 5 cm of new snow expected. 30 to 50 km/h southwest alpine wind. Treeline temperature -4°C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Conservative terrain selection is critical, choose only well supported, low consequence lines.
  • Remote triggering is a concern, watch out for adjacent and overhead slopes.
  • Be aware of the potential for surprisingly large avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • Avoid exposure to steep sun exposed slopes.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

A weak layer of faceted grains above a crust buried 70 to 140 cm deep is a recipe for large, high-consequence avalanches. Remote triggering is an ongoing concern.

Avalanches triggered on this layer could run full path.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

2 - 4

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Wind slab could be found on north and east exposed slopes at treeline and above.

these avalanches could step down to deeper layers.

Solar Input could increase the likelihood of triggering.

Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Valid until: Mar 6th, 2024 4:00PM