Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 30th, 2016 8:59AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada triley, Avalanche Canada

New storm slabs may continue to be reactive, and deeply buried persistent weak layers may continue to be triggered in isolated terrain features.

Summary

Confidence

High

Weather Forecast

Unsettled with flurries or periods of light snow overnight combined with moderate westerly winds. Expect 3-5 cm by Sunday morning, and not much more accumulation during the day on Sunday. Freezing levels staying below about 500 metres on Sunday as the winds become light from the northwest. Some chance of broken skies on Sunday producing brief periods of moderate solar radiation. Overcast with convective flurries on Monday with light winds and alpine temperatures around -10. Tuesday should be a bit cooler with light winds and broken to scattered cloud.

Avalanche Summary

Some small natural wind slab or storm slab avalanches up to about 20 cm deep were reported on Saturday from the south of the region. On Friday a couple of operations reported natural slab avalanches up to size 2 that were releasing as pockets of wind slab or thin storm slab. Explosives controlled avalanches up to size 2.0 releasing in the storm snow were also reported on Friday. No new reports of any avalanches releasing down to the persistent weak layers.

Snowpack Summary

There was another 5-10 cm of new snow on Saturday morning that had been transported by moderate westerly winds overnight. This new snow has added to the 10-20 cm of new snow that was reported on Friday. The total recent storm slab of 15-30 cm may be sitting on a layer of surface hoar that was buried on January 27th, or on top of one or two thin freezing rain crusts up to about 2100 metres. Some areas report that previous strong winds destroyed this new layer of surface hoar, and may have stripped the old surface back to a hard rain crust before the new storm snow arrived. The persistent weak layer that was buried January 4th is now down 80-120 cm and continues to give sudden planar fractures in snowpack tests in some areas.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
Recent storm slabs and pockets of wind slab may continue to be easy to trigger where they are sitting on buried surface hoar. Storm slabs may be well bonded where they are sitting on a thin rain crust.
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain. >Storm slabs may be reactive for longer than normal due to the presence of buried surface hoar. >

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
This persistent weak layer is probably now best described as a low probability but high consequence problem. Dig down (80-120 cm) to see if the surface hoar exists in your area.
Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to the presence of buried surface hoar. >Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a big line. >

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

3 - 5

Valid until: Jan 31st, 2016 2:00PM