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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 17th, 2016–Mar 18th, 2016
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Jasper.

Caution still advised in Portal/Whistler Creek as persistent slab still a concern.  Intense solar radiation and rising freezing levels on the weekend may act as a trigger.

Weather Forecast

Cool and clear on friday with light winds and no precipitation. Skis remain clear until Sunday with the freezing level increasing to 2500 m by the end of the weekend. 

Snowpack Summary

The snowpack is generally shallow and poorly consolidated, significant variation exists within the forecasting area. Test results in Portal Crk , 15th, showed mod-hard results dwn 60cm on facets 2-3mm with a sudden planar character. This layer could be trigger from thin areas. Alpine windslab on lee slopes and melt/freeze crust below Treeline.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches observed or reported.

Confidence

Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Friday

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

This problem was most active in the Maligne and surrounding Jasper area where the average snow pack is shallow but is proving much less active in the Columbia Icefield area.
Avoid slopes when the solar radiation is strong, especially if they have large cornices overhead.Avoid shallow snowpack areas where triggering is more likely.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 3

Wind Slabs

Uniform wind slab has formed on most lee alpine and tree line slopes and cross-loaded features.
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.Caution in lee and cross-loaded terrain near ridge crests.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3