Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Dec 19th, 2016 4:25PM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Moderate - Due to the number of field observations
Weather Forecast
Tuesday: 8-15cm of new snow / Strong to extreme west winds / Freezing level at 1200mWednesday: Mix of sun and cloud with light flurries / Moderate southwest winds / Freezing level at 1100mThursday: Mix of sun and clouds / Moderate southwest winds / Freezing level at 1000m
Avalanche Summary
On Sunday, several size 1 wind slabs were ski cut in the Lizard Range. On Monday, new snowfall and strong winds are expected to have produced a solid round of wind slab activity at all elevation bands, although no formal updates from the field were available at the time of producing this bulletin . The new snow buries a weak interface which will likely prolong the reactivity of new slabs.
Snowpack Summary
By Monday afternoon, up to 45cm of low-density snow had fallen with the highest amounts accumulating in the Lizard Range. Intense wind transport was reported to have occurred at all elevations, and reactive wind slabs are expected to exist. The new snow buries a variable surface that developed over the last week of cold, dry, and windy conditions. This interface consists of scoured surfaces and wind slabs in wind exposed terrain, widespread faceting of the upper snowpack, and surface hoar up to 20 mm in sheltered areas. In sheltered areas, you may find another layer of surface hoar in the mid to upper snowpack which was buried around December 10. The mid pack is generally well settled. The thick crust from mid-November is near the bottom of the snowpack and reports suggest that the crust is currently well bonded to the surrounding snow.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Dec 20th, 2016 2:00PM