Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Mar 14th, 2016 6:05PM
The alpine rating is Deep Persistent Slabs, Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Weather Forecast
A similar weather pattern for the next few days - on Tuesday expect overcast skies with light snow through the day, probably not accumulating more than 3-5cm. Temperatures will remain cool from -2 to -10 and relatively light winds. Excellent weather for quality tree skiing!
Snowpack Summary
30-50 cm of snow sits above crusts to 1800m and all solar slopes. Recent S-SW winds with strong gusts have formed slabs in lee areas that bond poorly to these crusts. Across the region the snowpack is highly variable, but in most areas the snowpack is just over 150cm deep and generally weak facets near the basal layers.
Avalanche Summary
Close call today. In the Simpson area (deeper snowpack) we were on a ridge crest and triggered a large cornice. This cornice dropped onto the slope below and triggered a 400m wide size 3 avalanche that ran for approximately 900m. The slab failed on a buried suncrust, and ranged from 50-100cm deep. Watch out for buried crusts with accumulated load!
Confidence
Problems
Deep Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Persistent Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Wind Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Mar 15th, 2016 4:00PM