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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 28th, 2014–Jan 29th, 2014
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Banff Yoho Kootenay.

Winds and cold temperatures have created many weak areas in the alpine and treeline elevations this year. This gives us low confidence in the snowpack in bigger terrain at these elevations. Good skiing can still be found on sheltered non solar slopes

Weather Forecast

A weak front is forecast to bring up to 5 cm of snow with light winds Wednesday overnight with valley temperatures in the -5 to -10 range.  On Thurs and Fri we will return to high pressure with sunny skies and lows in the -15 to -20 range. Likely, we will get temperature inversions (temperatures colder in the valleys than in the alpine).

Snowpack Summary

The Jan 25th surface hoar layer is buried under 5 cm of snow in the Bow Summit area, but remains on the surface in most of the forecast region. This will become a weak layer to watch in the future. Strong solar radiation has formed a suncrust on S & W facing slopes. The basal facets remain weak, but the overall snowpack is gaining strength.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches observed in the past several days.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Avalanche Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

The basal facets are lying dormant for now. However, the possibility of triggering from a weak spot (thin, shallow, rocky area) remains real.
Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.Be aware of the potential for full depth avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3