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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 16th, 2020–Mar 17th, 2020
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

A cooler day on Tuesday should reduce solar inputs but daytime heating could be an issue if the skies clear. Watch for lingering wind slabs and avoid steep shallow snow pack areas. Good skiing can be had in sheltered terrain. Enjoy!

Weather Forecast

Some increased winds Monday night but then back to light winds generally from the North on Tuesday with a few light flurries in the afternoon. Alpine and treeline temperatures between -8 to -4' C and valley bottom temperatures near freezing. Solar inputs will be limited but can heat things quickly if the skies are more clear than expected.

Snowpack Summary

Sun crust on steep solar aspects. 15-20 cm of soft snow over a firm mid pack has been redistributed by moderate winds from various directions (SW, N and E). Wind slabs are present in steep lee areas, with wind effect on many open slopes above treeline. In shallow snowpack areas the weak basal facets remain a concern.

Avalanche Summary

A few small solar triggered slides were observed out of steep rocky terrain Sunday and Monday. Several slab avalanches from size 1.5-2.5 were observed Sunday on steep SW cross loaded shallow slopes and highlight the basal weakness in shallow areas. A cornice failure also triggered the deep persistent layer on the NE side of Observation Pk.

Confidence

The weather pattern is stable

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Recent snow and variable wind directions (SW, N and E) have developed wind slabs in lee areas on a variety of aspects. These are beginning to bond but use caution if you encounter them in steep terrain, especially in thin snowpack areas.

  • Variable winds may create pockets of wind slab in some unexpected locations.
  • If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Deep Persistent Slabs

Use caution in thin snowpack areas averaging 150cm or less. In these areas the basal snowpack layer of depth hoar and facets remains weak, and the mid and upper snowpack is thin enough to allow for triggering of the deep persistent layer.

  • Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.
  • Pay attention to overhead hazards like cornices which could trigger the deep persistent slab.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3.5