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Avalanche Forecast

Dec 31st, 2020–Jan 1st, 2021
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable

Regions: South Rockies.

New wind slabs may be forming up high. Good riding conditions remain in terrain that has been sheltered from the wind.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with light snowfall, accumulation 1 to 3 cm, 30 km/h southwest wind, alpine temperature -6 C.

FRIDAY: Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 5 cm, 40 km/h southwest wind, alpine temperature -5 C, freezing level rising to 1500 m.

SATURDAY: Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 10 to 20 cm, 40 km/h southwest wind, alpine temperature -5 C, freezing level 1500 m.

SUNDAY: Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 20 to 40 cm, 40 km/h southwest wind, alpine temperature -4 C, freezing level 1500 m.

Avalanche Summary

No recent avalanches have been reported in the region.

Snowpack Summary

A bit more snow and southwest wind are forecast for Friday. New wind slabs may form in exposed terrain, particularly in the alpine. In sheltered terrain, soft snow is likely found. You may find this recent snow overlying a hard melt-freeze crust below 1900 m.

Weak layers of feather surface hoar and/or sugary faceted grains may be found above a hard melt-freeze crust around 40 to 90 cm deep. Avalanches were reported on these layers on December 23 and 25.

The base of the snowpack consists of faceted grains and a hard melt-freeze crust from early-November. The most recent activity on this layer was on December 23.

Terrain and Travel

  • Carefully evaluate steep lines for wind slabs.
  • Avoid slopes that sound hollow or drum-like.
  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to the presence of buried weak layers.
  • Avoid shallow, rocky areas where the snowpack transitions from thick to thin.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Some new snow and southwest wind are forecast, which may form pockets of wind slab immediately adjacent to ridges. Use caution as you enter steep terrain and assess for the bond of this new snow before committing yourself.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

A hard melt-freeze crust is found around 40 to 90 cm deep. The concern is where weak layers of surface hoar and/or faceted grains exist above the crust. For areas where either of these weak layers exists above the crust, the possibility remains that riders could trigger large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3