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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Nov 29th, 2020–Nov 30th, 2020
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Cariboos.

  

50-80 cm. of recent storm snow and moderate to strong southwest winds have formed widespread storm slabs ripe for human triggers. Additional snow and shifting northwest winds on Monday may form fresh wind slabs on lee features at treeline and above.

Confidence

Low - Uncertainty is due to the limited number of field observations.

Weather Forecast

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with flurries; 0-3 cm. / Moderate to strong, southwest wind / alpine low temperature -10 / Freezing level valley bottom.

 MONDAY: Snow, 5-15 cm / Moderate, northwest wind / alpine high temperature -6 / Freezing level 1000 m.

TUESDAY: Sunny / Light, northwest wind / alpine high temperature -8 / Freezing level valley bottom.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny / Light, south wind / alpine high temperature +2 / Strong inversion with an above freezing layer of air above 2000 m.

Avalanche Summary

A naturally triggered size 2.5 avalanche was reported on a southeast aspect in the alpine on Saturday.

Data is very sparse in this region. Please submit your observations to the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

50-80 cm. of recent storm snow and moderate to strong southwest winds have formed widespread storm slabs ripe for human triggers. There is a crust from early November now down approximately 75-125 cm. This crust has been observed with sugary facets above and below it. There are limited observations on this layer, but some test results indicate that it has the potential to be reactive to human triggering. Total snowpack depths are an average of 100-200 cm at upper elevations, tapering quickly at lower elevations. 

Terrain and Travel

  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, avalanches may run surprisingly far.
  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
  • Avoid terrain traps where the consequence of any avalanche could be serious.
  • Avoid steep convex slopes.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

 50-80 cm. or recent storm snow and moderate to strong southwest winds have formed widespread storm slabs ripe for human triggers.  

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5

Deep Persistent Slabs

A crust from early November exists down about 75-125 cm, and may have weak sugary facets above and below it. Storm slab avalanches may step down and trigger this layer, resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3