Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Dec 12th, 2016 3:54PM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Moderate - Wind effect is extremely variable
Weather Forecast
Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday: Cold and dry and mostly clear throughout the period. Treeline temperatures in the -8 to -10C range, winds light, initially from the northeast, becoming easterly on Wednesday. Some cloud appearing Thursday.
Avalanche Summary
On Sunday, a small cornice was human-triggered and loose snow avalanches were noted in steeper terrain. Otherwise no notable avalanche activity occurred. On Saturday, ski cutting was producing very soft slabs, in leeward terrain features and a few natural size 1 loose avalanches were also observed.
Snowpack Summary
Around 20cm of new low density snow has buried the heavily wind affected surfaces from the strong outflow winds last week. The old surface is highly variable and may include hard wind pressed or scoured areas, old wind slabs, weak faceted snow, or small surface hoar. Expect the new snow to be bonding poorly with this interface. The cold temperatures appear to be preserving the old wind slabs from the end of last week and they still may be reactive to human triggering in isolated areas. In high elevation terrain, moderate southwest winds over the weekend may have redistributed some of the new storm snow and soft slabs may exist in immediate leeward features. The widespread mid-November crust is typically down 1-2m in the snowpack. Recent snowpack and explosive tests have shown the crust to be unreactive, but it could remain a problem in shallow alpine start zones.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Dec 13th, 2016 2:00PM