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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 21st, 2016–Jan 22nd, 2016
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Jasper.

Heads Up!  Conditions are changing with snow and strong SW winds building slab conditions over a weak facetted base.

Weather Forecast

10cm of snow possible into the weekend with freezing levels rising to 1900 m on Friday.  Strong SW winds will continue until Sunday.

Snowpack Summary

Strong SW winds building slab on top of a weak faceted snowpack on exposed tree line and alpine features.  10 cm of new snow possible will increase the likelihood of touchy new wind slabs on lee aspects. Mid-pack is weak below tree line due to faceting.

Avalanche Summary

On Wednesday the field team ski cut a size 2 loose dry avalanche in steep terrain that ran 400m and entrained snow. This avalanche condition should be expected in steep terrain at tree line and below.  Touchy slab conditions can be expected below ridge lines in open tree line areas and in the alpine.

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Friday

Avalanche Problems

Loose Dry

Loose dry avalanches should be expected in steep terrain, and may entrain significant amounts of snow in gully features.
On steep slopes, pull over periodically or cut into a new line to manage sluffing.Be cautious of sluffing in steep terrain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Wind Slabs

Significant wind event (Strong SW) transporting available snow to produce touchy wind slabs in lee and cross-loaded terrain in the alpine.
Be careful with wind loaded pockets while approaching and climbing ice routes.Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading have created wind slabs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3