Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Nov 16th, 2011 8:40AM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs and Storm Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Poor - Due to limited field observationsfor the entire period
Weather Forecast
Thursday: Expect another 5-15cm of new snow as the storm tapers off. Freezing levels should lower to around 300m and winds should ease off becoming light to moderate westerlies.Friday: Isolated flurries bringing light amounts with freezing levels as low as 200m and light northwesterly winds.Saturday: Relatively clear, dry and cold with light northwesterly winds.
Avalanche Summary
No reports of avalanches, but I suspect wind slabs and any new storm slabs will be susceptible to human triggering. The size of the ensuing avalanche depends on slab thickness, with slabs thicker than 30cm generally producing avalanches sufficiently large to bury or injure a person.
Snowpack Summary
Total snowpack depth at treeline is around 80-100cm. Expect to find deeper pockets of wind-blown snow immediately down-wind of terrain features and ridge crests. A rain crust from last week is 70 or 80 cm off the ground at treeline and lower alpine elevations, and is heavily faceted faceted in some locations. Watch this weakness as it gets more load.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Storm Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Nov 17th, 2011 3:00AM