Avalog Join
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 26th, 2016–Mar 27th, 2016
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Rockies.

A storm is expected to arrive Sunday night. If it arrives early, the Avalanche Danger may be higher than posted.

Confidence

Moderate - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Sunday

Weather Forecast

Between 10-15 cm of new snow is expected to fall from Sunday afternoon to Monday morning Winds associated with the system should be moderate to strong from the west. A dry ridge of high pressure will bring increasingly clear skies for Monday afternoon and Tuesday. Daytime freezing levels should hover around 1700m for the forecast period.

Avalanche Summary

Sporadic cornice falls have occurred over the last week, some triggering slabs on the slope below. Otherwise, no new avalanches have been reported.

Snowpack Summary

Large cornices overhang alpine slopes and threaten to trigger avalanches on slopes below. Recently formed wind slabs may be isolated to alpine wind-loaded terrain. In many places, the snow surface consists of a crust or moist snow and the snowpack is generally strong. Deeply buried weak layers near the ground are becoming hard to find, but may remain sensitive to triggering from thin snowpack areas or with large loads such as cornice fall.

Avalanche Problems

Cornices

Large fragile cornices threaten many slopes. A cornice fall could be the large trigger required to awaken deeper weak layers.
Do not travel on slopes that are exposed to cornices overhead.>Stay well to the windward side of corniced ridges.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 4

Wind Slabs

Wind slabs from a few days ago may still be reactive to the weight of a rider. I'd be increasingly cautious in higher elevation lee terrain. If Sunday night's precipitation arrives early, new wind slabs may also form.
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>Be alert to conditions that change with elevation.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3