Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 7th, 2018 4:03PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Cornices.

Avalanche Canada swerner, Avalanche Canada

Forecast snow and strong winds is driving the avalanche danger. Be alert to changing conditions and increased hazard.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain

Weather Forecast

Thursday: New snow up to 20 cm overnight Wednesday. Clearing by the afternoon. Ridgetop winds strong from the southwest. Alpine temperatures near -5 with freezing levels 1600 m. Friday: Mix of sun and cloud with alpine temperatures near -10 and freezing levels at valley bottom. Ridgetop winds light from the north. Saturday: Mostly clear with no forecast snow. Alpine temperatures near -10 and ridgetop winds light from the northeast.

Avalanche Summary

On Tuesday, cornice triggers using explosives produced numerous results up to size 2. Cornices remain fragile, give them a wide berth from above and below. Some loose wet avalanches up to size 1.5 were reported from steeper terrain features below 1700 m. Avalanche activity will likely increase on Thursday with forecast snow and strong winds.

Snowpack Summary

New snow up to 10 cm and consistently strong winds from the south east have formed reactive wind slabs in exposed leeward terrain. Below this is a variety of old snow surfaces including wind pressed, scoured or fresh, low density snow in the alpine. Treeline and below treeline a melt-freeze crust exists with moist snow below 1500 m.An average of 170 cm of settled snow now sits on the mid-January crust which generally shows signs of bonding to the overlying snow; however, it has the potential to "wake-up" with a large trigger such as a cornice fall. Cornices are large and fragile and demand respect. Below this, the snowpack is thought to be generally strong and well-settled.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
New storm slabs may be reactive to rider triggers, especially on leeward slopes and behind terrain features where wind loading builds thicker slabs.
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.Use conservative route selection, stick to moderate angled terrain with low consequence.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices
Large looming cornices exist along ridgelines. They require respect and discipline. Give them an extra wide berth from above and below.
Give cornices a wide berth when travelling on or below ridges.Falling cornices may trigger large avalanches on the slopes below.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Valid until: Feb 8th, 2018 2:00PM