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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 5th, 2025–Mar 6th, 2025
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

While natural activity has tapered, human triggering of buried weak layers remains likely - and high consequence.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Persistent slabs have been reactive on the February weak layer, predominantly in the alpine. Over the weekend and into Monday, a natural avalanche cycle included persistent slabs up to size 3 and explosive control work produced results up to size 3.5. On Tuesday, a skier remotely triggered a size 2.5 from 100 m away.

Looking forward, human triggering of large slabs remains a significant concern.

Snowpack Summary

Snow at upper elevations has been wind-affected. Cornices are large and fragile. South-facing slopes and low elevations hold a surface crust.

Facets, surface hoar and/or a crust from mid February are buried 50 to 100 cm deep. This layer has produced large natural and human-triggered avalanches this week.

Deeper in the snowpack, a facet/crust layer from early December can be found from 100 to 300 cm deep. This layer appears to be dormant for now but we're keeping it on the radar as an isolated concern which may reactivate in the spring.

Weather Summary

Wednesday night

Mostly cloudy with 1 to 5 cm of snow. 20 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures -5 °C. Freezing level 500 m.

Thursday

Mostly cloudy 1 to 5 cm of snow. 30 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures -3 °C. Freezing level 1000 m.

Friday

Cloudy with 10 to 20 cm of snow. 40 to 60 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures -2 °C. Freezing level 1200 m.

Saturday

Partly cloudy with 1 to 5 cm of snow. 20 to 30 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures -5 °C. Freezing level 800 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be mindful that deep instabilities are still present and have produced recent large avalanches.
  • Remote triggering is a concern; avoid terrain where triggering overhead slopes is possible.
  • Use extra caution around cornices: they are large, fragile, and can trigger slabs on slopes below.
  • Stick to simple terrain or small features with limited consequence.

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

Buried persistent weak layers have produced large natural and human triggered avalanches recently. Triggering remains possible.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 3.5

Wind Slabs

Wind slabs may remain triggerable by riders, especially near ridge crests and rollovers. Recent winds have switched from east to southwest, so watch for slabs on all aspects and expect locally variable conditions.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5