Dashboard Regions Weather Stations Radar Alerts Glossary
Contact About
Log In

Register for an account and never miss a forecast again!

Register

Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 20th, 2017–Mar 21st, 2017

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Jasper.

Avalanche control work on Monday produced numerous class 3 avalanches from alpine terrain. Stick to low angle supported terrain until the snow pack settles down.

Weather Forecast

Unsettled warmer weather for the next few days. Overnight -10.  Tomorrow mainly cloudy with isolated flurries. Freezing level 2100m. Alpine highs 0 C. Ridge winds south 10-20 km/h. More sun to the north near the townsite. On Wednesday 5-10cm of new snow lesser amount near the townsite with more sunshine.

Snowpack Summary

The 50cm of snow that fell last week and into the weekend has formed wind slabs up to 1.5m's thick at and above treeline. Large cornices loom above. Below the slab is a mid-pack with several crusts and persistent instabilities of facets and surface hoar. Closer to the ground a weak base around the November rain crust and depth hoar below.

Avalanche Summary

A widespread avalanche cycle took place over the weekend with crowns up to a kilometer long and in places 2m deep. The largest  are size 3.5 and have run full path several stepped to basal layers near ground. From treeline less activity and more in the class 2-2.5 range. Control work today produced numerous size 3 avalanches from the alpine.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain on Wednesday

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.