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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 28th, 2013–Dec 29th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Rockies.

Check out our South Rockies Blog for more up-to-date information.

Confidence

Fair - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Synopsis: The current pattern seems to be stuck on repeat. The NW flow remains intact with a few embedded disturbances which will bring cloudy skies and isolated flurries but no significant accumulations to the southeast corner of the province.Sunday: Freezing Level: Valley Bottom; Precip: Nil; Wind: Initially light SW switching to Strong NW by Sunday evening.Monday: Freezing Level: Valley Bottom; Precip: Nil Wind: Mod SW Tuesday: Freezing Level: Valley Bottom; Precip: 1/2mm 2/5cm Wind: Mod NW

Avalanche Summary

On Christmas Eve a backcountry skier triggered a size 2 slab avalanche on an alpine slope in the Harvey Pass area. The slab was reportedly 70cm deep and 150m wide and was thought to have slid on the late-November crust/facet interface. There were no reported injuries with the avalanche.No other avalanches have been reported.

Snowpack Summary

There appears to be a lot of snowpack variability across the region. Snowpack depths at treeline seem to vary from 60 - 130 cm with high variability in wind-exposed areas. Mostly modest amounts of low density snow have fallen over the last week and have likely been shifted into small wind slabs in exposed areas. Located just below the surface is a layer of weak faceted crystals which formed during the cold snap at the beginning of December. At this point, there does not seem to be enough of an overlying slab to create a widespread problem. In the mid pack is the late-November/early-December interface which is made up of surface hoar, a crust, and/or facets. This layer is typically down 30-70cm and has reached the tipping point for rider triggering in a few areas including the Harvey Pass area. Check out this video of a recent snowpack test on this layer.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.