Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 18th, 2021 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Loose Wet, Persistent Slabs and Cornices.

Deryl Kelly,

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Generally safe avalanche conditions.  Watch for unstable snow on isolated solar features.

Summary

Weather Forecast

Tonight: Flurries. Light SW winds.

Friday: Cloudy with sun, isolated flurries. Alpine temperature: High -5 °C. Ridge wind SW: 20 km/h gusting to 50 km/h. Freezing level: 1600 m.

Saturday: Flurries. Accumulation: 6 cm. Alpine temperature: Low -13 °C, High -7 °C. Ridge wind southwest: 20 km/h gusting to 55 km/h. Freezing level at valley bottom.

Snowpack Summary

Warm temps and high solar input has created typical spring like conditions with moist snow on solar aspects from daytime heating, TL and below. Continuing SW winds have redistributed the snow pack, forming hard slabs in the ALP. The mid pack is supportive in deep areas, but shallow snowpack areas are weak and will break down fast with temp swings.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche activity observed or reported

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Problems

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Varied sensitivity on solar aspects, likelihood increases on the steepest slopes. It may be possible to trigger deeper instabilities once initiated.

  • Use extra caution on solar slopes or if the snow is moist or wet.
  • If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

More activity noted at this layer, mostly initiated by large loads (cornices) in steep terrain.

  • Watch for moist surface snow over crust on steeper solar aspects.
  • Consider that avalanches may run further than expected as they entrain this loose surface snow.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices

Cornices can be extremely destructive alone or, may initiate deeper layers in the snowpack below.

  • Pay attention to overhead hazards like cornices which could easily trigger persistent slabs.
  • Cornices become weak with daytime heating, so travel early on exposed slopes.

Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Valid until: Mar 19th, 2021 4:00PM

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