Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Feb 22nd, 2021 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Storm Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeRecent snowfall amounts are highly variable across the region. Human triggered slabs remain a concern at upper elevations where recent snow has accumulated, especially in wind-affected terrain.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate - Recent weather patterns have resulted in a high degree of snowpack variability within the region.
Weather Forecast
Lingering flurries continue until Tuesday afternoon.
MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with flurries bringing up to 5 cm in the north and up to 10 cm in the Cascades, moderate west wind, treeline temperatures drop to -6 C.
TUESDAY: Some isolated flurries in the morning then some clearing in the afternoon, moderate northwest wind at ridgetops, treeline temperatures around -6 C.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny, light wind, treeline temperatures around -8 C.
THURSDAY: Flurries with 5-15 cm of snow, strong southwest wind, treeline temperatures around -6 C.
Avalanche Summary
Sunday night's storm likely resulted in a natural avalanche cycle in many parts of the region. Preliminary reports suggest there were some very large (size 3-4) natural avalanches in the Cascades, while there are no reports from other parts of the region at the time of publishing. The snowpack is likely gaining strength quickly, but steady wind loading will probably leave slabs reactive to human triggering at upper elevations.
Snowpack Summary
Weather stations suggest snowfall amounts from the weekend are 30-50 cm in the Cascades, 20-30 cm at the Duffey, 30-50 cm northwest of Pemberton, and 10-20 cm in the Chilcotin. In all parts of the region, alpine terrain will be heavily wind affected after strong to extreme southwest winds. Freezing levels reached 1500 m during the storm, so expect a rain crust at lower elevations. Recent weather has helped strengthen the lower snowpack including previous layers of concern.
Terrain and Travel
- Avoid freshly wind loaded terrain features.
- Don't be too cavalier with decision making, storm slabs may remain sensitive to human triggering.
- Investigate the bond of the recent snow before committing to your line.
Problems
Storm Slabs
The weekend's storm delivered 20-60 cm across the region. The combination of new snow and extreme southerly winds has likely left reactive slabs in steep terrain at higher elevations.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Feb 23rd, 2021 4:00PM